What's this Blog About?

Politics in Wisconsin as they roll up to every level... and some other thoughts that may cross my mind are explored here from my lefty point of view. My values shape my opinions. You'll always find them in here. Let's have some fun exploring why Liberal values are American values!

Your comments are both welcome and encouraged!
(The watercolor is called Magnolia Tree for Momma, by Audrey Crawford)

Sunday, August 24, 2008

Obama, McCain, Tracking Polls and What Could be the Problem...

I think this tracking poll says something really significant about the Presidential Race. I think it's something that the pundits and perhaps even Obama's campaign staffers are missing...

Obama on this poll was steadily 5-7 points ahead of McCain in June and all the way until early July.

Then something really significant happened that a a lot of people have missed in it's potential significance to Obama's campaign...

Obama voted yes on the FISA/Telecom Immunity Bill on July 9th and his numbers suddenly go down to somewhere between even and +3 seemingly overnight. Except for a few days that may represent good news days for the Obama campaign. The polling has not returned to the 5-7 point range significantly ever since that vote...
  • Could it be that for Americans that one vote represented the change they were expecting and that represented the same old caving as usual for no reason politics that we have come to despise?
  • Could it be that more American's were paying attention to that vote than the Democrats who brokered that deal with the devil anticipated?
  • Could it be that Pelosi and Reid misjudged the intelligence of the American public at just the wrong time and however inadvertantly sabotaged the Obama campaign relegating him to having to find a way to prove to us all that he really does represent the change we are demanding?
  • Could it be that Americans hope was dashed for only a moment but just long enough for 2-5% to take another look at John McCain and take a step back from the enthusiam?
I think this needs to be addressed next week in someway. I have no idea how, but the Dems need to as a party find a way to make a statement that an Obama presidency with a Dem Congress really WILL be different than the hell we've been through for the last 8 years.

That may make all the difference in the world as to whether or not THIS election in November is close enough for the GOP to steal it again or just an outright undeniable landslide.

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